Analytical Definitions

The two sectors require different analytical frameworks. Logistics is defined by establishments in North American Industry Classification System (NAICS)⁷ sectors 42 (Wholesale Trade) and 48–49 (Transportation and Warehousing), using 12 mutually exclusive detailed industries so that employment can be summed without double-counting.

Technology and logistics occupations are distributed across the broader economy rather than concentrated in a single industry, so both are analyzed using economy-wide Standard Occupational Classification (SOC)⁴ counts. The IT core covers software development, cybersecurity, network administration, equipment repair and maintenance, postsecondary instruction, and related technical roles; the logistics occupational set focuses on transportation, planning, inventory control, and material movement. Because occupations span multiple industries, occupational totals should not be added to the industry totals described above.

Employment is reported as 2024 estimated and 2034 projected job counts. Net change is the difference between the two; percent change is that difference relative to 2024 employment; and compound annual growth rate (CAGR) gives the equivalent constant annual pace. Totals may vary slightly due to rounding.

Annual job openings measure the full hiring demand expected each year. Openings arise from two sources: employment growth, reflecting new jobs created over the projection decade, and replacement demand, reflecting the need to fill positions vacated by workers who leave an occupation. Replacement demand itself has two components—labor-force exits, which occur when workers retire or otherwise permanently leave employment, and occupational transfers, which occur when workers move to a different occupation. Total annual openings equal the sum of growth openings plus annual exits plus annual transfers. Because replacement demand often substantially exceeds growth demand, total openings provide a more complete picture of labor-market opportunity than net employment change alone.

Geographic Regions

Sub-state projections follow Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA) boundaries established under Office of Management and Budget Bulletin 20-01 and cover four areas: the Las Vegas MSA (officially the Las Vegas-Henderson-Paradise MSA covering Clark County, but shortened throughout the report for brevity), the Reno MSA (Washoe and Storey counties), the Carson City MSA (Carson City), and the Balance of State (Nevada’s remaining 13 counties). Sub-state projections carry greater uncertainty than statewide results, and some detailed industry and occupation estimates are suppressed in smaller areas to protect the confidentiality of individual employers.

Statewide Occupational Outlook

Core technology employment is projected to rise from 31,687 jobs in 2024 to 35,907 in 2034. This is an increase of 4,220 jobs, or 13.3% over the decade.

Figure 1: Technology occupations with the largest projected job gains in Nevada, 2024-2034.

Software Developers leads the selected occupations with 716 additional jobs, growing from 4,921 to 5,637. 1 also shows demand spreading across systems management, cybersecurity, network design, software quality assurance, and technical support. This breadth reflects the economy-wide need to build, secure, and maintain digital systems rather than growth in one narrowly defined technology industry.

High-Growth Technology Roles

Percentage growth adds context to numerical gains. Data Scientists is projected to grow 38.0%, from 1,309 jobs to 1,807. Fast percentage growth in an occupation with a smaller employment base can still produce fewer new jobs than moderate growth in a larger occupation, so both measures should be considered when evaluating employment growth. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) provides a third perspective, showing the equivalent constant annual pace of growth over the decade.

1 provides detailed employment counts, net change, percent change, and CAGR for the top ten fastest-growing core technology occupations, based on projected growth between 2024 and 2034. Security, network, database, and support occupations point to continuing demand for both bachelor’s-level specialists and workers who may enter through certificates, associate degrees, apprenticeships, or demonstrated technical competency. The occupational set also includes Computer Science Teachers, Postsecondary, reflecting demand for instructors who train the next generation of technology workers, and Computer, Automated Teller, and Office Machine Repairers, reflecting the hands-on maintenance and repair side of the technology workforce.

Annual Job Openings

Net job growth understates the full hiring demand workers can expect. Across the core technology occupations, an estimated 2,329 positions will need to be filled each year—422 from growth and 1,907 from replacement needs. Replacement openings account for 82% of annual demand.

Figure 2: Estimated annual job openings by source for core technology occupations in Nevada, 2024-2034.

As shown in 2, Computer User Support Specialists and Software Developers generate the most annual openings in absolute terms. In both occupations—and across the group generally—occupational transfers represent the largest single component of replacement demand, reflecting that technology workers frequently move between roles as their careers progress. Labor-force exits contribute to replacement demand in every occupation but are consistently smaller than occupational transfers. 2 provides the complete breakdown for all core technology occupations.

Industry Outlook

Figure 3: Projected employment for logistics-related industries in Nevada, 2024-2034.

3 and 3 point to broad but uneven growth across Nevada’s logistics industries. Combined employment in the 12 industries shown is projected to increase from 143,240 jobs in 2024 to 157,764 in 2034. This represents a net gain of 14,524 jobs, or 10.1% over the decade.

Warehousing and Storage is expected to remain the largest logistics industry, reaching 46,441 jobs by 2034 after adding 2,352 jobs. The largest numerical increase occurs in Couriers and Messengers, which adds 3,881 jobs. The fastest growth is also projected in Couriers and Messengers, with a compound annual growth rate of 3.3%; its employment rises from 10,026 to 13,907.

Growth is not universal. Transit and Ground Passenger Transportation is projected to decline from 9,334 jobs in 2024 to 8,291 in 2034, a loss of 1,043 jobs (11.2%). Potential explanations include the increasing use of self-driving and other automated vehicle technologies, which may reduce demand for some driving roles, and the continued growth of self-employed gig drivers. A shift from payroll positions to independent contract work can lower measured industry employment even when demand for passenger transportation remains. These projections do not isolate the effects of automation or gig work, however, so these factors should be viewed as possible contributors rather than confirmed causes of the decline.

Occupational Outlook

The selected logistics occupations are projected to grow from 143,786 jobs in 2024 to 162,041 in 2034, an increase of 18,255 jobs (12.7%). These occupation counts cover all Nevada industries, not only employers classified in logistics.

Figure 4: Selected logistics occupations with the largest projected job gains in Nevada, 2024-2034.

As shown in 4, Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand has the largest projected increase among the selected occupations, adding 5,544 jobs. Large gains among stockers, freight movers, truck drivers, and inventory-related workers are consistent with continued demand for moving and handling goods. At the same time, growth among logisticians and transportation managers indicates demand for planning, coordination, and operational oversight alongside frontline employment.

4 details these occupations. The outlook points to opportunities across several education and skill levels. Some roles may be accessible through short-term training, licensing, or employer-based instruction, while planning, management, and specialized maintenance roles may require substantial experience or postsecondary education. Workforce planning should account for both growth openings and replacement needs, since the number of workers needed to replace people who leave an occupation can exceed employment growth alone.

Annual Job Openings

Across the selected logistics occupations, replacement demand dwarfs growth-driven hiring. An estimated 19,900 positions will need to be filled each year: 1,826 from net employment growth and 18,074 from workers leaving their occupations. Replacement openings account for 91% of total annual demand.

Figure 5: Estimated annual job openings by source for selected logistics occupations in Nevada, 2024-2034.

5 shows that Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand generate by far the largest volume of annual openings, with occupational transfers as the dominant component. This pattern is consistent with a frontline occupation that experiences substantial turnover as workers move to other roles. Stockers and Order Fillers and Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers also produce large opening volumes, again with replacement demand outpacing growth. For workforce planners, these figures underscore that filling vacated positions—not only creating new ones—represents the primary source of employment opportunity in logistics occupations. 5 provides the complete breakdown for all selected logistics occupations.

Funding

This workforce product was funded by a grant awarded by the U.S. Department of Labor’s Employment and Training Administration. The product was created by the recipient and does not necessarily reflect the official position of the U.S. Department of Labor. The U.S. Department of Labor makes no guarantees, warranties, or assurances of any kind, express or implied, with respect to such information, including any information on linked sites and including, but not limited to, accuracy of the information or its completeness, timeliness, usefulness, adequacy, continued availability, or ownership.

Data Sources

These projections would not be possible without the participation of Nevada employers in Bureau of Labor Statistics surveys. Employer responses provide critical information about economic conditions, employment, wages, and occupational staffing patterns. The Research and Analysis Bureau thanks the employers who contribute to these programs.

Employment projections are produced by the Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation, Research and Analysis Bureau, through the federal-state Employment Projections program.^1,8 National methodological guidance is provided by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, and state projections are made available through Projections Central.⁶ The projections data underlying this report are drawn from the Nevada Long-Term Employment Projections, 2024–2034 dataset.⁵

Data Preparation

This report was prepared with R, R Markdown, and pagedown. Data manipulation and visualization use the tidyverse and gt packages. All calculations, figures, tables, and narrative values in the report are generated from the accompanying projections dataset.

Rights and Use

This product is copyrighted by the institution that created it. Internal use by an organization and/or personal use by an individual for non-commercial purposes is permissible. All other uses require the prior authorization ofthe copyright owner.